The 2021 NBA Playoffs continue on Saturday night with a Game 7 elimination matchup between the Brooklyn Nets and the Milwaukee Bucks in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The teams have traded blows all series, with the Nets jumping out to a 2-0 series lead, the Bucks pulling even back home and then both teams splitting their home and home matchups in Games 5 and 6. Now they’ll head back to the Barclays Center for a 8:30 p.m. ET tip on Saturday night. Kyrie Irving (ankle) remains out for Brooklyn.
The Nets have covered four of the six games so far this series, including all three of their home game, but the Bucks have covered two of the last three matchups. This time around, Brooklyn is the two-point favorite with the over-under listed at 216 in the latest Nets vs. Bucks odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Before locking in any Bucks vs. Nets picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the conference semifinals of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Bucks vs. Nets spread: Nets -2
- Bucks vs. Nets over-under: 216 points
- Bucks vs. Nets money line: Nets -125, Bucks +105
- MIL: The Bucks are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
- BKN: The Nets are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
Featured Game | Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Why the Bucks can cover
The Bucks were led by their offense in the regular season but, in the NBA Playoffs 2021, it has been their defense carrying the day. Milwaukee leads the playoffs in defensive rating, yielding just 101.5 points per 100 possessions. The Bucks also lead the playoffs in grabbing 80.1 percent of available defensive rebounds. Even when scuffling on offense, the Bucks have been able to clamp down on Brooklyn’s league-leading offense, and Milwaukee has received high-level contributions from Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton in the last two victories.
Antetokounmpo has been a steady force, averaging 30.5 points and 12.8 rebounds per game in the series. Middleton has stepped up in the last two games, averaging 31.5 points per contest and making several big shots. The Bucks also put pressure on the offensive glass, grabbing 28.1 percent of their own misses in the series, and they hold a size and physicality advantage against the undermanned Nets.
Why the Nets can cover
The Nets have looked like different teams at home and on the road so far in this series. They’ve averaged 118 points per game in their three home games and have averaged just 89.3 points per game in their three road losses. Kevin Durant’s efficiency from the floor has been a direct reflection of how different the Nets have looked home and away.
Durant is shooting 42.2 percent from the floor and 25.0 percent from the 3-point line on the road and is shooting 60.6 percent from the floor and 47.4 percent from the 3-point line at home. It’s also encouraging that James Harden looked slightly more effective in Game 6 despite the loss. After scoring five points on 1-of-10 shooting in Game 5, Harden had 16 points on 5-of-9 shooting in Game 6. If he can take another step forward, it could give the Nets a big edge.
How to make Bucks vs. Nets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.