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Copa America 2021 odds, picks, predictions: Proven soccer expert reveals best bets for Brazil vs. Peru

Brazil will try to continue its dominance of Peru when the teams meet Thursday night in a 2021 Copa America group-stage game in Rio de Janeiro. It is a rematch of the 2019 Copa final, which Brazil won 3-1 for its ninth tournament crown. Brazil is 34-9-5 all-time against Peru and won the most recent meeting 4-2 in a 2022 World Cup qualifier in October. The Brazilians dominated their opener, beating Venezuela 3-0, while this is Peru’s first match of Copa America 2021. Peru has won this event twice, in 1939 and 1975.  

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. Brazil is the 1.5-goal and -500 moneyline favorite (risk $510 to win $100) in the latest Brazil vs. Peru odds from William Hill Sportsbook, with the over-under for total goals set at 2.5. Before making any Peru vs. Brazil picks or Copa America 2021 predictions, you have to see what soccer expert Roger Gonzalez has to say.

Gonzalez grew up playing competitive soccer before becoming one of the world’s foremost soccer journalists. After covering soccer all over the globe — a Champions League final in Italy, Copa America and professional leagues in Argentina — Gonzalez returned to the U.S. as CBS Sports’ top soccer expert. He has his finger on the pulse of the South American teams.

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Now, Gonzalez has broken down Thursday’s Peru vs Brazil match. You can visit SportsLine now to see his expert picks. Here are several odds and trends for Brazil vs Peru:

  • Peru vs. Brazil spread: Brazil -1.5 (-150)
  • Peru vs. Brazil over-under: 2.5 goals (over -140, under +110)
  • Peru vs. Brazil money line: Peru +1400, Brazil -500, Draw +550
  • PER: Christian Cueva has scored 11 goals in 72 international matches. 
  • BRA: Is 20-6-2 in its last 28 matches, outscoring its opponents 62-11.  

Why you should back Brazil 

The Selecao has long been known as one of the best attacking teams on the planet, and that remains the case. But this team is nearly as strong on the back end, with elite goalkeepers Edersson and Alisson backing a defense led by captain Thiago Silva and Marquinhos. Brazil hasn’t yielded a goal in its past five games and has outscored opponents 19-2 since the start of 2020. Edersson had a league-high 19 clean sheets with English Premier League champion Manchester City, while Alisson has 44 over three seasons with Liverpool, the 2019-20 champ.

The team’s bread-and-butter remains an attack that centers on Neymar. The 29-year-old is the team’s No. 2 all-time scorer with 67 goals, 10 behind Pele. He had 15 goals and seven assists despite missing nine games with Paris Saint-Germain, and he scored and set up a goal in the opener against Venezuela. The superstar is usually joined by Gabriel Jesus (18 international goals) and Roberto Firmino (15). Richarlison, who has 33 goals over the past three seasons with Everton, also is dangerous, while fellow midfielder Casemiro is an excellent two-way player. 

Why you should back Peru 

The Peruvians have won two of the past six meetings and come in with some confidence after a 2-1 win against Ecuador in World Cup qualifying. They also will be out for revenge after being denied their third Copa title by the Brazlians in the 2019 final. Peru is the only team to score on Brazil since the start of 2020, with Renato Tapia and Andre Carrillo netting goals in the 4-2 loss. Ricardo Gareca has opted for a young squad for the tournament, so it will try to outlast Brazil. 

The young players will be eager to impress, and they can count on the experience of midfielder Christian Cueva, who scored in the victory against Ecuador. The 29-year-old had eight goals and seven assists in just 15 matches in the Saudi Arabian Pro League this season. Peru also will look for scoring from Gianluca Lapadula, who has 61 goals in seven seasons in Italy’s Serie A, and Sergio Pena, who had six goals in the Dutch Eredivisie with Emmen. Goalkeeper Pedro Gallese has four clean sheets in the first seven matches of the MLS season with Orlando City.    

How to make 2021 Copa America picks for Peru vs. Brazil

Gonzalez has taken an in-depth look at the Brazil vs. Peru matchup, and he is going over the total of 2.5 goals. He also has picked another strong prop play and broken down this key match. He’s only sharing it all over at SportsLine.

So who should you back in Thursday’s Peru vs. Brazil match? And which prop bet should you be all over? Visit SportsLine now to find out the best bets you can make on Thursday’s Brazil vs. Peru game, all from the soccer insider who has his finger on the pulse of South American soccer.

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