With the Patriots shipping Sony Michel to the Rams, unloading the fourth-year running back for draft picks, owners are dashing to figure out the implications for their 2021 Fantasy football rankings. Michel, a former first-round draft pick, was on a crowded depth chart with Damien Harris, Rhamondre Stevenson, James White and J.J. Taylor in New England. That made for a tough analysis for any owners looking to factor the Patriots’ running backs in their 2021 Fantasy football strategy.
In Los Angeles, Michel projects to have a slightly more defined role, but owners still need answers for their 2021 Fantasy football picks. How does he fit in on a depth chart with Darrell Henderson, Xavier Jones, and Jake Funk? How do you parse through the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts to target on draft day? Before setting your 2021 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2021 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills quarterback Josh Allen was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 70, but the model pegged him as a top-five Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish well ahead of players like Kyler Murray, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Allen ended up being the No. 2-scoring Fantasy QB, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks and even surpassing Patrick Mahomes. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine’s advice reaped plenty of value with that pick.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and players like Devin Singletary and JuJu Smith-Schuster as busts last season. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2021, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Jets receiver Jamison Crowder. The veteran returned top-40 value last season despite missing four games. Crowder posted a 59-699-6 stat line for an anemic Jets offense that ranked last in points scored and second-to-last in passing yards. He averaged 96 receiving yards per game through the first four weeks before a groin injury limited him over the rest of the year.
The Jets’ drafting of Zach Wilson should help Crowder’s production since rookie quarterbacks often rely on safety valves like slot receivers. Crowder saw 70 percent of his targets from the slot last year and should be utilized in a similar manner in 2020. SportsLine’s model has Crowder outperforming his 15th-round ADP and outperforming many of the receivers being drafted ahead of him, including fellow Jets receiver Rondale Moore.
Top 2021 Fantasy football breakouts
The model is also projecting Saints receiver Marquez Callaway as one of its top 2021 Fantasy Football breakouts. An undrafted rookie in 2020, Callaway ran as the team’s No. 4 wideout for much of the season, finishing with 21 catches for 213 yards and no touchdowns. However, injuries to Michael Thomas and Tre’Quan Smith have elevated Callaway up the depth chart and he hasn’t shied away from being given additional opportunities. In fact, he led all players in receiving yards (165) and receiving touchdowns (two) after two weeks of the preseason.
Callaway has developed a strong rapport with Jameis Winston, who just locked up the starting quarterback job in New Orleans. At 6-foot-2, 204 pounds, Callaway is built similarly to Thomas, but 60 wide receivers are still being drafted before him on average. The model ranks him as its WR46, so there’s plenty of value in drafting Callaway with one of your late-round Fantasy football 2021 picks.
Top 2021 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Lions running back D’Andre Swift as one of its biggest 2021 Fantasy football busts. The second-year running back out of Georgia is a trendy pick, but SportsLine’s model is not a believer. Swift’s injury struggles in preseason camp only make him a riskier selection.
The latest 2021 Fantasy football ADP shows Swift being selected at pick 32, marking him as a third-round selection in 12-team leagues. Compared to where other running backs of better or similar value are going, Swift is becoming the opposite of a sleeper. His projected production lines up behind fourth-round running backs like Josh Jacobs, David Montgomery, Miles Sanders and Chris Carson, and just barely ahead of fifth-round pick Darrell Henderson, according to the model.
How to find proven 2021 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being drafted in the middle rounds of 2021 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. You can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2021 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2021 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and find out.